The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥500.10Fair value¥1,690.35Bull¥2,411.35
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,338.0052W high ¥1,917.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
Poppins Corporation closed at ¥1,787.00, 5.7% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,690.35 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 58/100 — Good. P/E of 15.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,367.85
-23.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=4.3%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,582.67
-11.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=117.12, BVPS=950.53 · outside Graham range (P/E 15.3, P/B 1.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,342.40
+31.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=117.12, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥500.10
-72.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=117.12, g=4.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,411.35
+34.9%
(EBITDA × 12.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.08B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥819.46
-54.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=45.03, r=10%, g=4.3%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,431.60
-19.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=950.53, ROE=12.9%, g=4.3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,787.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 3.5% | Historical: 4.3%
Margin of Safety
¥1,323.23
-26.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1764.31, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.