¥612.76
Above FV▼ -18.2% against the close used
Model range ¥127.97 – ¥1,012.69
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear¥127.97Fair value¥612.76Bull¥1,012.69
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥733.0052W high ¥809.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
Ota Floriculture Auction Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥749.00, 22.2% above the consensus fair value of ¥612.76 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 36/100 — Average. P/E of 46.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
¥1,012.69
+35.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥610.98
-18.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=16.17, BVPS=1026.03 · outside Graham range (P/E 46.3, P/B 0.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥323.40
-56.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=16.17, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥276.18
-63.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=16.17, g=17.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥609.33
-18.6%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=309M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥127.97
-82.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=10.04, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥162.11
-78.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1026.03, ROE=1.6%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥749.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 18.5% | Historical: -17.1%
Margin of Safety
¥486.77
-35.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=649.02, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.