The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥22.57Fair value¥210.64Bull¥311.53
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥161.0052W high ¥187.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
POPLAR CO.,Ltd. closed at ¥161.00, 23.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥210.64 drawn from 7 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 38/100 — Average. P/E of 19.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥311.53
+93.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥47.71
-70.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=8.45, BVPS=11.97 · outside Graham range (P/E 19.1, P/B 13.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥169.00
+5.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=8.45, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥204.14
+26.8%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=366.21M
Book Value (P/B)
¥22.57
-86.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=11.97, ROE=16.2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥161.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.5% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥132.06
-18.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=176.08, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.