POPLAR CO.,Ltd.

7601 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Standard
¥161.00
-0.62%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

7601
POPLAR CO.,Ltd.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥161.00
Close used for this calculation
¥210.64Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
38/100
Profitability4/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet7/25
Efficiency9/25
Growth8/25
Average
Quality radar
38Prof.4/25Ret.18/25Eff.9/25B.Sht7/25Growth8/25

Consensus fair value

¥210.64
Below FV
▲ +30.8% against the close used
Model range ¥22.57 – ¥311.53
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥22.57Fair value¥210.64Bull¥311.53
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥161.0052W high ¥187.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

POPLAR CO.,Ltd. closed at ¥161.00, 23.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥210.64 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 38/100 — Average. P/E of 19.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥311.53
+93.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥47.71
-70.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=8.45, BVPS=11.97 · outside Graham range (P/E 19.1, P/B 13.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥169.00
+5.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=8.45, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥204.14
+26.8%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=366.21M
Book Value (P/B)
¥22.57
-86.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=11.97, ROE=16.2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥161.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.5% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥132.06
-18.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=176.08, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.