¥986.44
Near FV▲ +9.1% against the close used
Model range ¥111.23 – ¥2,044.52
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear¥111.23Fair value¥986.44Bull¥2,044.52
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥803.0052W high ¥924.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading close to the consensus fair value
UMENOHANA GROUP CO.,LTD. closed at ¥904.00, 8.4% below the consensus fair value of ¥986.44 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 39/100 — Average. P/E of 31.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
¥2,044.52
+126.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=3.9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥304.41
-66.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=28.52, BVPS=144.41 · outside Graham range (P/E 31.7, P/B 6.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥570.40
-36.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=28.52, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥111.23
-87.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=28.52, g=3.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥560.76
-38.0%
(EBITDA × 12x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.45B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥170.91
-81.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=10.03, r=10%, g=3.9%
Book Value (P/B)
¥213.06
-76.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=144.41, ROE=12.9%, g=3.9%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥904.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 13.3% | Historical: 3.9%
Margin of Safety
¥729.83
-19.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=973.11, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.