The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,132.27Fair value¥4,120.89Bull¥12,151.65
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,909.0052W high ¥3,465.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Shinwa Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,965.00, 28.0% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,120.89 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 65/100 — Strong. P/E of 12.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥12,151.65
+309.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=4.6%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥4,257.21
+43.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=247.22, BVPS=3258.24
P/E Fair Value
¥4,944.40
+66.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=247.22, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,132.27
-61.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=247.22, g=4.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥5,187.78
+75.0%
(EBITDA × 12.3x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.66B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,391.39
-19.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=123.94, r=10%, g=4.6%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,935.71
-34.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3258.24, ROE=7.8%, g=4.6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,965.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.2% | Historical: 4.6%
Margin of Safety
¥5,338.32
+80.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=7117.75, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.