The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥2,811.24Fair value¥5,772.67Bull¥7,997.47
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,027.0052W high ¥4,735.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
NAGANO KEIKI CO.,LTD. closed at ¥3,800.00, 34.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,772.67 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 67/100 — Strong. P/E of 13.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥6,469.99
+70.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥4,076.78
+7.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=285.75, BVPS=2585.03
P/E Fair Value
¥5,715.00
+50.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=285.75, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥6,012.18
+58.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=285.75, g=21%
EV/EBITDA
¥7,997.47
+110.5%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=8.84B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,811.24
-26.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=52.06, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,748.30
-1.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2585.03, ROE=11.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,800.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 1.6% | Historical: 21%
Margin of Safety
¥4,065.44
+7.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=5420.59, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.