¥510.54
Near FV▲ +6.1% against the close used
Model range ¥44.34 – ¥1,011.30
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear¥44.34Fair value¥510.54Bull¥1,011.30
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥244.0052W high ¥866.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading close to the consensus fair value
TOKYO KOKI CO.LTD. closed at ¥481.00, 5.8% below the consensus fair value of ¥510.54 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 34/100 — Weak. P/E of 25.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
¥1,011.30
+110.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=2.4%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥317.40
-34.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=18.71, BVPS=239.3 · outside Graham range (P/E 25.7, P/B 2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥374.20
-22.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=18.71, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥44.34
-90.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=18.71, g=2.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥145.86
-69.7%
(EBITDA × 11.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=196.7M
Book Value (P/B)
¥174.35
-63.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=239.3, ROE=8.1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥481.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 10.5% | Historical: 2.4%
Margin of Safety
¥425.73
-11.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=567.63, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.