The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,286.24Fair value¥2,323.19Bull¥3,072.36
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥552.0052W high ¥895.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
HIRAYAMA HOLDINGS Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥890.00, 61.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,323.19 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 78/100 — Strong. P/E of 7.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,400.25
+169.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,286.24
+44.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=112.36, BVPS=654.41
P/E Fair Value
¥2,247.20
+152.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=112.36, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,250.57
+152.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=112.36, g=20%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,072.36
+245.2%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.35B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,700.97
+203.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=50.02, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,979.60
+122.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=654.41, ROE=18.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥890.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -5.6% | Historical: 20%
Margin of Safety
¥1,483.42
+66.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1977.9, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.