MTG Co.,Ltd.

7806 TSE Consumer Discretionary Other Products
TSE Growth
¥7,650.00
-3.77%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

7806
MTG Co.,Ltd.
Consumer DiscretionaryOther Products
¥7,650.00
Close used for this calculation
¥3,737.16Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
40/100
Profitability13/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet13/25
Efficiency4/25
Growth3/25
Average
Quality radar
40Prof.13/25Ret.10/25Eff.4/25B.Sht13/25Growth3/25

Consensus fair value

¥3,737.16
Above FV
▼ -51.1% against the close used
Model range ¥1,843.36 – ¥4,744.41
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,843.36Fair value¥3,737.16Bull¥4,744.41
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,600.0052W high ¥9,250.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

MTG Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥7,650.00, 104.7% above the consensus fair value of ¥3,737.16 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 40/100 — Average. P/E of 37.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥4,003.15
-47.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,427.70
-68.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=201.68, BVPS=1298.81 · outside Graham range (P/E 37.9, P/B 5.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥4,033.60
-47.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=201.68, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,843.36
-75.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=201.68, g=9.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,744.41
-38.0%
(EBITDA × 14.6x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=13.07B
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,441.85
-55.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1298.81, ROE=16.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥7,650.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 15.8% | Historical: 9.1%
Margin of Safety
¥2,616.11
-65.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3488.15, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.