The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥165.31Fair value¥1,915.10Bull¥2,500.37
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥799.0052W high ¥895.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
KOWA CO.,LTD. closed at ¥853.00, 55.5% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,915.10 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 73/100 — Strong. P/E of 8.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,875.32
+119.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=1.6%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,378.43
+61.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=102.96, BVPS=820.19
P/E Fair Value
¥2,059.20
+141.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=102.96, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥165.77
-80.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=102.96, g=1.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,500.37
+193.1%
(EBITDA × 10.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=978.1M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥165.31
-80.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=12.97, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,230.29
+44.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=820.19, ROE=13.5%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥853.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -5% | Historical: 1.6%
Margin of Safety
¥1,328.24
+55.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1770.98, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.