The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,018.66Fair value¥5,602.36Bull¥7,493.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,498.0052W high ¥3,420.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
C.S. LUMBER CO.,INC closed at ¥2,755.00, 50.8% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,602.36 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 50/100 — Good. P/E of 7.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥7,022.64
+154.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥7,349.43
+166.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=374.69, BVPS=6406.98
P/E Fair Value
¥7,493.80
+172.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=374.69, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,832.23
-33.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=374.69, g=4.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,013.51
+9.4%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.7B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,018.66
-63.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=79.9, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,745.85
-0.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=6406.98, ROE=6%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,755.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -6.7% | Historical: -4.9%
Margin of Safety
¥5,466.47
+98.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=7288.62, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.