KOTOBUKIYA CO.,LTD.

7809 TSE Consumer Discretionary Other Products
TSE Standard
¥1,321.00
+0.08%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

7809
KOTOBUKIYA CO.,LTD.
Consumer DiscretionaryOther Products
¥1,321.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,184.59Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
76/100
Profitability15/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth19/25
Strong
Quality radar
76Prof.15/25Ret.18/25Eff.25/25B.Sht18/25Growth19/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,184.59
Below FV
▲ +65.4% against the close used
Model range ¥1,645.98 – ¥5,326.07
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,645.98Fair value¥2,184.59Bull¥5,326.07
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,307.0052W high ¥1,793.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

KOTOBUKIYA CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,321.00, 39.5% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,184.59 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 76/100 — Strong. P/E of 9.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,094.96
+58.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,754.57
+32.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=136.72, BVPS=1000.76
P/E Fair Value
¥2,734.40
+107.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=136.72, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,718.57
+30.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=136.72, g=12.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥5,326.07
+303.2%
(EBITDA × 16.3x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.78B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,161.42
+63.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=40.03, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,076.57
+57.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1000.76, ROE=14.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,321.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.8% | Historical: 12.6%
Margin of Safety
¥1,645.98
+24.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2194.64, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.