The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥2,521.77Fair value¥4,593.17Bull¥6,454.88
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,735.0052W high ¥2,062.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
NAKAMOTO PACKS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,937.00, 57.8% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,593.17 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 69/100 — Strong. P/E of 7.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥4,864.40
+151.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,609.06
+86.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=245.07, BVPS=2362.2
P/E Fair Value
¥4,901.40
+153.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=245.07, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,521.77
+30.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=245.07, g=10.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥6,454.88
+233.2%
(EBITDA × 15.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=4.22B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,838.75
+98.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=71.09, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,834.63
+46.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2362.2, ROE=10.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,937.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -5.6% | Historical: 10.3%
Margin of Safety
¥3,343.71
+72.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4458.29, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.