Avex Inc.

7860 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Prime
¥1,252.00
+0.48%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

7860
Avex Inc.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥1,252.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,778.95Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
56/100
Profitability17/25
Returns8/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency20/25
Growth25/25
Good
Quality radar
56Prof.17/25Ret.8/25Eff.20/25B.Sht11/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,778.95
Below FV
▲ +42.1% against the close used
Model range ¥127.62 – ¥2,697.56
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥127.62Fair value¥1,778.95Bull¥2,697.56
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,159.0052W high ¥1,351.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Avex Inc. closed at ¥1,252.00, 29.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,778.95 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 56/100 — Good. P/E of 15.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥127.62
-89.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,512.81
+20.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=83.68, BVPS=1215.53
P/E Fair Value
¥1,673.60
+33.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=83.68, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,510.40
+100.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=83.68, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,343.09
+87.1%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.53B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,697.56
+115.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=49.95, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥303.88
-75.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1215.53, ROE=7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,252.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 3.2% | Historical: 40.2%
Margin of Safety
¥828.51
-33.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1104.68, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.