HIRAGA CO.,LTD.

7863 TSE Consumer Discretionary Other Products
TSE Standard
¥944.00
+1.61%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

7863
HIRAGA CO.,LTD.
Consumer DiscretionaryOther Products
¥944.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,187.63Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
58/100
Profitability12/25
Returns13/25
Balance Sheet13/25
Efficiency20/25
Growth22/25
Good
Quality radar
58Prof.12/25Ret.13/25Eff.20/25B.Sht13/25Growth22/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,187.63
Below FV
▲ +25.8% against the close used
Model range ¥309.51 – ¥1,511.12
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥309.51Fair value¥1,187.63Bull¥1,511.12
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥895.0052W high ¥1,070.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

HIRAGA CO.,LTD. closed at ¥944.00, 20.5% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,187.63 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 58/100 — Good. P/E of 14.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,229.14
+30.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,511.12
+60.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=65.58, BVPS=1547.54
P/E Fair Value
¥1,311.60
+38.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=65.58, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,076.17
+14.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=65.58, g=16.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,510.28
+60.0%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=505.36M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥510.33
-45.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=40.03, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥309.51
-67.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1547.54, ROE=4.4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥944.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.7% | Historical: -16.4%
Margin of Safety
¥1,012.97
+7.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1350.62, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.