The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥840.83Fair value¥2,596.74Bull¥4,247.25
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,532.0052W high ¥3,765.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
TOMY COMPANY,LTD. closed at ¥3,639.00, 40.1% above the consensus fair value of ¥2,596.74 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 27.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,784.93
-23.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=6.4%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,936.00
-46.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=131.38, BVPS=1267.94 · outside Graham range (P/E 27.7, P/B 2.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,627.60
-27.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=131.38, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥840.83
-76.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=131.38, g=6.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,247.25
+16.7%
(EBITDA × 13.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=32B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,892.93
-48.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=64.05, r=10%, g=6.4%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,489.83
-59.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1267.94, ROE=10.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,639.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 11.5% | Historical: 6.4%
Margin of Safety
¥1,837.13
-49.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2449.51, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.