ESTELLE HOLDINGS CO.,LTD.

7872 TSE Consumer Discretionary Other Products
TSE Standard
¥618.00
+0.49%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

7872
ESTELLE HOLDINGS CO.,LTD.
Consumer DiscretionaryOther Products
¥618.00
Close used for this calculation
¥370.26Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
37/100
Profitability10/25
Returns8/25
Balance Sheet12/25
Efficiency7/25
Growth11/25
Average
Quality radar
37Prof.10/25Ret.8/25Eff.7/25B.Sht12/25Growth11/25

Consensus fair value

¥370.26
Above FV
▼ -40.1% against the close used
Model range ¥48.07 – ¥494.30
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥48.07Fair value¥370.26Bull¥494.30
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥579.0052W high ¥648.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

ESTELLE HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥618.00, 66.9% above the consensus fair value of ¥370.26 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 37/100 — Average. P/E of 140.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥82.65
-86.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥330.91
-46.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=4.41, BVPS=1103.57 · outside Graham range (P/E 140.1, P/B 0.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥88.20
-85.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=4.41, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥48.07
-92.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=4.41, g=10.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥494.30
-20.0%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.06B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥344.33
-44.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=27.01, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥110.36
-82.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1103.57, ROE=1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥618.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 34% | Historical: -10.9%
Margin of Safety
¥125.44
-79.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=167.25, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.