Kohsai Co.,Ltd.

7878 TSE Consumer Discretionary Other Products
TSE Standard
¥1,510.00
+0.73%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

7878
Kohsai Co.,Ltd.
Consumer DiscretionaryOther Products
¥1,510.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,542.27Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
45/100
Profitability17/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet5/25
Efficiency13/25
Growth17/25
Average
Quality radar
45Prof.17/25Ret.10/25Eff.13/25B.Sht5/25Growth17/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,542.27
Near FV
▲ +2.1% against the close used
Model range ¥361.99 – ¥2,218.65
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥361.99Fair value¥1,542.27Bull¥2,218.65
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥853.0052W high ¥1,796.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Kohsai Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,510.00, 2.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,542.27 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 45/100 — Average. P/E of 20.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,463.87
-3.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,310.04
-13.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=73.75, BVPS=1034.25 · outside Graham range (P/E 20.5, P/B 1.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,475.00
-2.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=73.75, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,212.50
+46.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=73.75, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,218.65
+46.9%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=247.78M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,622.65
+7.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=30.05, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥361.99
-76.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1034.25, ROE=7.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,510.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7.5% | Historical: 38.4%
Margin of Safety
¥1,062.23
-29.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1416.3, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.