The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥281.10Fair value¥1,995.28Bull¥2,736.32
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,011.0052W high ¥3,195.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
MITSUBISHI PENCIL COMPANY,LIMITED closed at ¥3,195.00, 60.1% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,995.28 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 44/100 — Average. P/E of 28.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,556.59
-51.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=2.5%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,563.53
-19.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=114.27, BVPS=2556 · outside Graham range (P/E 28, P/B 1.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,285.40
-28.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=114.27, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥281.10
-91.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=114.27, g=2.5%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,736.32
-14.4%
(EBITDA × 11.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=14.62B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥707.69
-77.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=52.08, r=10%, g=2.5%
Book Value (P/B)
¥620.74
-80.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2556, ROE=4.7%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,195.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 11.7% | Historical: 2.5%
Margin of Safety
¥1,601.38
-49.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2135.17, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.