The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥284.10Fair value¥1,571.21Bull¥2,427.36
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥768.0052W high ¥1,347.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
SHIGEMATSU WORKS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥861.00, 45.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,571.21 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 8.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,512.19
+75.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=4.5%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,715.47
+99.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=98.74, BVPS=1324.62
P/E Fair Value
¥1,974.80
+129.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=98.74, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥443.34
-48.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=98.74, g=4.5%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,427.36
+181.9%
(EBITDA × 12.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.97B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥284.10
-67.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=14.98, r=10%, g=4.5%
Book Value (P/B)
¥795.73
-7.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1324.62, ROE=7.8%, g=4.5%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥861.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -4.2% | Historical: 4.5%
Margin of Safety
¥1,300.62
+51.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1734.15, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.