OUG Holdings Inc.

8041 TSE Consumer Discretionary Wholesale Trade
TSE Standard
¥4,575.00
-0.54%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

8041
OUG Holdings Inc.
Consumer DiscretionaryWholesale Trade
¥4,575.00
Close used for this calculation
¥8,071.31Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
73/100
Profitability17/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet13/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth25/25
Strong
Quality radar
73Prof.17/25Ret.18/25Eff.25/25B.Sht13/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

¥8,071.31
Below FV
▲ +76.4% against the close used
Model range ¥4,464.68 – ¥29,898.90
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥4,464.68Fair value¥8,071.31Bull¥29,898.90
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,730.0052W high ¥4,790.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

OUG Holdings Inc. closed at ¥4,575.00, 43.3% below the consensus fair value of ¥8,071.31 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 73/100 — Strong. P/E of 4.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥4,464.68
-2.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥13,076.10
+185.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=996.63, BVPS=7625
P/E Fair Value
¥19,932.60
+335.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=996.63, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥29,898.90
+553.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=996.63, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥20,696.52
+352.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=7.3B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥9,017.32
+97.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=166.99, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥15,250.00
+233.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=7625, ROE=14%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥4,575.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -10% | Historical: 41.4%
Margin of Safety
¥9,368.35
+104.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=12491.13, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.