Shinko Shoji Co.,Ltd.

8141 TSE Consumer Discretionary Wholesale Trade
TSE Prime
¥1,565.00
-0.13%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

8141
Shinko Shoji Co.,Ltd.
Consumer DiscretionaryWholesale Trade
¥1,565.00
Close used for this calculation
¥694.01Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
34/100
Profitability14/25
Returns0/25
Balance Sheet15/25
Efficiency5/25
Growth15/25
Weak
Quality radar
34Prof.14/25Ret.0/25Eff.5/25B.Sht15/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

¥694.01
Above FV
▼ -55.7% against the close used
Model range ¥235.45 – ¥1,266.50
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥235.45Fair value¥694.01Bull¥1,266.50
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥960.0052W high ¥1,740.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Shinko Shoji Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,565.00, 125.5% above the consensus fair value of ¥694.01 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 34/100 — Weak. P/E of 40.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥725.71
-53.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,266.50
-19.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=38.72, BVPS=1841.18 · outside Graham range (P/E 40.4, P/B 0.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥774.40
-50.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=38.72, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥793.76
-49.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=38.72, g=20.5%
EV/EBITDA
¥421.21
-73.1%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.48B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥235.45
-85.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=18.47, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥397.69
-74.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1841.18, ROE=2.2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,565.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 16.6% | Historical: -20.5%
Margin of Safety
¥691.65
-55.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=922.2, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.