NIPPON GAS CO.,LTD.

8174 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Prime
¥3,028.00
-0.49%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

8174
NIPPON GAS CO.,LTD.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥3,028.00
Close used for this calculation
¥3,258.72Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
52/100
Profitability15/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet9/25
Efficiency13/25
Growth13/25
Good
Quality radar
52Prof.15/25Ret.15/25Eff.13/25B.Sht9/25Growth13/25

Consensus fair value

¥3,258.72
Near FV
▲ +7.6% against the close used
Model range ¥1,390.00 – ¥5,559.41
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,390.00Fair value¥3,258.72Bull¥5,559.41
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,650.0052W high ¥3,153.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

NIPPON GAS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥3,028.00, 7.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,258.72 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 22.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥4,054.27
+33.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,390.00
-54.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=136.69, BVPS=628.22 · outside Graham range (P/E 22.2, P/B 4.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,733.80
-9.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=136.69, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,421.58
-53.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=136.69, g=10.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,066.81
+34.3%
(EBITDA × 15.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=31.24B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥5,559.41
+83.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=102.95, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,512.86
-17.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=628.22, ROE=22%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,028.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.5% | Historical: 10.4%
Margin of Safety
¥2,044.52
-32.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2726.02, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.