The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,390.00Fair value¥3,258.72Bull¥5,559.41
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,650.0052W high ¥3,153.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
NIPPON GAS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥3,028.00, 7.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,258.72 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 22.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥4,054.27
+33.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,390.00
-54.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=136.69, BVPS=628.22 · outside Graham range (P/E 22.2, P/B 4.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,733.80
-9.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=136.69, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,421.58
-53.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=136.69, g=10.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,066.81
+34.3%
(EBITDA × 15.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=31.24B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥5,559.41
+83.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=102.95, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,512.86
-17.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=628.22, ROE=22%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,028.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.5% | Historical: 10.4%
Margin of Safety
¥2,044.52
-32.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2726.02, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.