The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥2,478.75Fair value¥5,264.00Bull¥7,748.35
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,011.5052W high ¥3,046.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
H2O RETAILING CORPORATION closed at ¥2,833.50, 46.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,264.00 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 60/100 — Good. P/E of 11.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥5,393.66
+90.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,930.14
+38.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=254.39, BVPS=2698.57
P/E Fair Value
¥5,087.80
+79.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=254.39, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥7,631.70
+169.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=254.39, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥7,748.35
+173.5%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=57.17B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,478.75
-12.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=45.9, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,563.64
-9.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2698.57, ROE=9.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,833.50
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0.8% | Historical: 32%
Margin of Safety
¥3,602.90
+27.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4803.87, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.