Saikaya Department Store Co.,Ltd.

8254 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Standard
¥294.00
+3.16%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

8254
Saikaya Department Store Co.,Ltd.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥294.00
Close used for this calculation
¥461.33Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
31/100
Profitability4/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet0/25
Efficiency9/25
Growth8/25
Weak
Quality radar
31Prof.4/25Ret.18/25Eff.9/25B.Sht0/25Growth8/25

Consensus fair value

¥461.33
Below FV
▲ +56.9% against the close used
Model range ¥15.90 – ¥801.61
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥15.90Fair value¥461.33Bull¥801.61
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥210.0052W high ¥583.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Saikaya Department Store Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥294.00, 36.3% below the consensus fair value of ¥461.33 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 31/100 — Weak. P/E of 13.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥417.21
+41.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥71.44
-75.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=22.26, BVPS=10.19 · outside Graham range (P/E 13.2, P/B 28.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥445.20
+51.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=22.26, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥801.61
+172.7%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=461.8M
Book Value (P/B)
¥15.90
-94.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=10.19, ROE=13.9%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥294.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 1.5% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥233.46
-20.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=311.28, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.