ORIX CORPORATION

8591 TSE Financials Other Financing Business
TSE Prime
¥6,089.00
+0.08%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

8591
ORIX CORPORATION
FinancialsOther Financing Business
¥6,089.00
Close used for this calculation
¥7,370.70Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
81/100
Profitability25/25
Returns24/25
Balance Sheet14/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth23/25
Exceptional
Quality radar
81Prof.25/25Ret.24/25Eff.18/25B.Sht14/25Growth23/25

Consensus fair value

¥7,370.70
Below FV
▲ +21.0% against the close used
Model range ¥3,166.93 – ¥9,713.50
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥3,166.93Fair value¥7,370.70Bull¥9,713.50
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,693.0052W high ¥6,673.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

ORIX CORPORATION closed at ¥6,089.00, 17.4% below the consensus fair value of ¥7,370.70 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 81/100 — Exceptional. P/E of 15.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥7,672.24
+26.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,166.93
-48.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=386.53, BVPS=1153.22 · outside Graham range (P/E 15.8, P/B 5.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥7,730.60
+27.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=386.53, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥9,713.50
+59.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=386.53, g=25.1%
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥8,417.43
+38.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=155.88, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥8,447.33
+38.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1153.22, ROE=35.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥6,089.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 3.9% | Historical: 25.1%
Margin of Safety
¥4,642.44
-23.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=6189.92, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.