The Kosei Securities Co.,Ltd.

8617 TSE Financials Securities and Commodities Futures
TSE Standard
¥606.00
+0.00%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

8617
The Kosei Securities Co.,Ltd.
FinancialsSecurities and Commodities Futures
¥606.00
Close used for this calculation
¥431.85Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
17/100
Profitability4/25
Returns1/25
Balance Sheet3/25
Efficiency9/25
Growth3/25
Weak
Quality radar
17Prof.4/25Ret.1/25Eff.9/25B.Sht3/25Growth3/25

Consensus fair value

¥431.85
Above FV
▼ -28.7% against the close used
Model range ¥127.49 – ¥931.65
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥127.49Fair value¥431.85Bull¥931.65
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥439.0052W high ¥649.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

The Kosei Securities Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥606.00, 40.3% above the consensus fair value of ¥431.85 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 17/100 — Weak. P/E of 27.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥417.58
-31.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥931.65
+53.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=22.28, BVPS=1731.43
P/E Fair Value
¥445.60
-26.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=22.28, Sector P/E=20x
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥127.49
-79.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=10, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥228.55
-62.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1731.43, ROE=1.3%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥606.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 11.3% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥448.71
-26.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=598.28, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.