Advantage Risk Management Co.,Ltd.

8769 TSE Industrials Services
TSE Standard
¥491.00
-0.20%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

8769
Advantage Risk Management Co.,Ltd.
IndustrialsServices
¥491.00
Close used for this calculation
¥882.70Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
79/100
Profitability19/25
Returns21/25
Balance Sheet14/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth25/25
Strong
Quality radar
79Prof.19/25Ret.21/25Eff.25/25B.Sht14/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

¥882.70
Below FV
▲ +79.8% against the close used
Model range ¥520.97 – ¥2,419.24
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥520.97Fair value¥882.70Bull¥2,419.24
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥451.0052W high ¥683.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Advantage Risk Management Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥491.00, 44.4% below the consensus fair value of ¥882.70 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 79/100 — Strong. P/E of 11.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,419.24
+392.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥520.97
+6.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=43.73, BVPS=275.84
P/E Fair Value
¥874.60
+78.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=43.73, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,311.90
+167.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=43.73, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,202.54
+348.6%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.99B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥917.38
+86.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=16.99, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥737.88
+50.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=275.84, ROE=16.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥491.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0.7% | Historical: 35.8%
Margin of Safety
¥953.70
+94.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1271.6, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.