TOC Co.,Ltd.

8841 TSE Real Estate Real Estate
TSE Standard
¥1,001.00
+0.20%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

8841
TOC Co.,Ltd.
Real EstateReal Estate
¥1,001.00
Close used for this calculation
¥566.99Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
44/100
Profitability14/25
Returns2/25
Balance Sheet23/25
Efficiency5/25
Growth6/25
Average
Quality radar
44Prof.14/25Ret.2/25Eff.5/25B.Sht23/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

¥566.99
Above FV
▼ -43.4% against the close used
Model range ¥127.63 – ¥835.11
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥127.63Fair value¥566.99Bull¥835.11
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥798.0052W high ¥1,158.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

TOC Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,001.00, 76.5% above the consensus fair value of ¥566.99 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 44/100 — Average. P/E of 38.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥712.01
-28.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥835.11
-16.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=26.32, BVPS=1177.65 · outside Graham range (P/E 38, P/B 0.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥526.40
-47.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=26.32, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥184.77
-81.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=26.32, g=7%
EV/EBITDA
¥422.42
-57.8%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.78B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥127.63
-87.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=10.01, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥270.86
-72.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1177.65, ROE=2.3%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,001.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 15.8% | Historical: -7%
Margin of Safety
¥518.38
-48.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=691.17, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.