Meiwa Estate Company Limited

8869 TSE Real Estate Real Estate
TSE Standard
¥800.00
-1.48%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

8869
Meiwa Estate Company Limited
Real EstateReal Estate
¥800.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,066.78Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
61/100
Profitability13/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet5/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth19/25
Good
Quality radar
61Prof.13/25Ret.18/25Eff.25/25B.Sht5/25Growth19/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,066.78
Below FV
▲ +158.3% against the close used
Model range ¥1,659.64 – ¥3,263.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,659.64Fair value¥2,066.78Bull¥3,263.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥771.0052W high ¥1,220.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Meiwa Estate Company Limited closed at ¥800.00, 61.3% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,066.78 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 61/100 — Good. P/E of 4.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥3,239.16
+304.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,399.93
+200.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=163.19, BVPS=1568.63
P/E Fair Value
¥3,263.80
+308.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=163.19, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,659.64
+107.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=163.19, g=10.2%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,960.43
+145.1%
(EBITDA × 15.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=8.03B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,432.16
+204.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=45.04, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,882.35
+135.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1568.63, ROE=10.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥800.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -10% | Historical: 10.2%
Margin of Safety
¥2,225.72
+178.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2967.63, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.