GOLDCREST Co.,Ltd.

8871 TSE Real Estate Real Estate
TSE Standard
¥3,140.00
-1.57%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

8871
GOLDCREST Co.,Ltd.
Real EstateReal Estate
¥3,140.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,986.14Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
44/100
Profitability14/25
Returns5/25
Balance Sheet7/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth8/25
Average
Quality radar
44Prof.14/25Ret.5/25Eff.18/25B.Sht7/25Growth8/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,986.14
Near FV
▼ -4.9% against the close used
Model range ¥757.33 – ¥4,023.09
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥757.33Fair value¥2,986.14Bull¥4,023.09
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,140.0052W high ¥3,700.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

GOLDCREST Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥3,140.00, 5.2% above the consensus fair value of ¥2,986.14 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 44/100 — Average. P/E of 17.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥3,306.18
+5.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥4,023.09
+28.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=176.4, BVPS=4077.92
P/E Fair Value
¥3,528.00
+12.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=176.4, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,107.79
-64.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=176.4, g=6.3%
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,273.11
-59.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=99.85, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥757.33
-75.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=4077.92, ROE=4.3%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,140.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.6% | Historical: -6.3%
Margin of Safety
¥2,714.32
-13.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3619.09, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.