The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,610.78Fair value¥2,228.47Bull¥2,592.26
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥997.0052W high ¥1,251.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
ES-CON JAPAN Ltd. closed at ¥1,096.00, 50.8% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,228.47 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 70/100 — Strong. P/E of 8.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,526.98
+130.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,610.78
+47.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=127.31, BVPS=905.79
P/E Fair Value
¥2,546.20
+132.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=127.31, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,958.03
+78.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=127.31, g=15.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,842.13
+68.1%
(EBITDA × 17.7x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=28.12B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,592.26
+136.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=48, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,970.08
+79.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=905.79, ROE=14.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,096.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -4.4% | Historical: 15.4%
Margin of Safety
¥1,670.99
+52.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2227.99, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.