The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥2,765.19Fair value¥5,706.73Bull¥8,487.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,483.5052W high ¥3,198.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
TOBU RAILWAY CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,939.00, 48.5% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,706.73 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 61/100 — Good. P/E of 10.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥5,615.68
+91.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥4,485.20
+52.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=282.92, BVPS=3160.22
P/E Fair Value
¥5,658.40
+92.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=282.92, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥8,487.60
+188.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=282.92, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥7,951.50
+170.6%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=127.07B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,777.20
+28.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=69.95, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,765.19
-5.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3160.22, ROE=9.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,939.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -1.8% | Historical: 42.6%
Margin of Safety
¥3,939.82
+34.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=5253.09, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.