Niigata Kotsu Co.,Ltd.

9017 TSE Industrials Land Transportation
TSE Standard
¥1,997.00
+0.35%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9017
Niigata Kotsu Co.,Ltd.
IndustrialsLand Transportation
¥1,997.00
Close used for this calculation
¥4,745.21Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
46/100
Profitability6/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet7/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth8/25
Average
Quality radar
46Prof.6/25Ret.15/25Eff.18/25B.Sht7/25Growth8/25

Consensus fair value

¥4,745.21
Below FV
▲ +137.6% against the close used
Model range ¥2,177.18 – ¥9,885.97
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥2,177.18Fair value¥4,745.21Bull¥9,885.97
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,950.0052W high ¥2,160.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Niigata Kotsu Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,997.00, 57.9% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,745.21 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 46/100 — Average. P/E of 6.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥9,885.97
+395.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥5,947.38
+197.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=299.14, BVPS=5255.26
P/E Fair Value
¥5,982.80
+199.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=299.14, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥3,275.39
+64.0%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.54B
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,177.18
+9.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=5255.26, ROE=5.9%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,997.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -8.1% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥5,454.04
+173.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=7272.05, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.