The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,191.36Fair value¥2,579.34Bull¥4,219.88
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,582.5052W high ¥1,994.50
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. closed at ¥1,861.50, 27.8% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,579.34 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 47/100 — Average. P/E of 15.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,323.33
+24.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,556.69
+37.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=117.05, BVPS=2482
P/E Fair Value
¥2,341.00
+25.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=117.05, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,939.13
+57.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=117.05, g=25.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,219.88
+126.7%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=82.7B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,161.20
+16.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=40.02, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,191.36
-36.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2482, ROE=4.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,861.50
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.1% | Historical: 25.1%
Margin of Safety
¥1,805.26
-3.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2407.01, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.