Shinki Bus Co.,Ltd.

9083 TSE Industrials Land Transportation
TSE Standard
¥1,981.00
-0.45%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9083
Shinki Bus Co.,Ltd.
IndustrialsLand Transportation
¥1,981.00
Close used for this calculation
¥5,118.47Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
64/100
Profitability15/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet9/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth19/25
Good
Quality radar
64Prof.15/25Ret.15/25Eff.25/25B.Sht9/25Growth19/25

Consensus fair value

¥5,118.47
Below FV
▲ +158.4% against the close used
Model range ¥110.06 – ¥6,856.02
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥110.06Fair value¥5,118.47Bull¥6,856.02
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,850.0052W high ¥2,122.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Shinki Bus Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,981.00, 61.3% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,118.47 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 64/100 — Good. P/E of 7.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥5,193.30
+162.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥5,090.72
+157.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=261.64, BVPS=4402.22
P/E Fair Value
¥5,232.80
+164.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=261.64, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,684.43
+35.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=261.64, g=10.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥6,856.02
+246.1%
(EBITDA × 15.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.79B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,776.18
+90.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=69.93, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥110.06
-94.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=4402.22, ROE=6.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,981.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -6.3% | Historical: 10.3%
Margin of Safety
¥3,879.21
+95.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=5172.27, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.