Kyushu Railway Company

9142 TSE Industrials Land Transportation
TSE Prime
¥3,506.00
-1.24%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9142
Kyushu Railway Company
IndustrialsLand Transportation
¥3,506.00
Close used for this calculation
¥6,490.82Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
73/100
Profitability25/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet8/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth25/25
Strong
Quality radar
73Prof.25/25Ret.15/25Eff.25/25B.Sht8/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

¥6,490.82
Below FV
▲ +85.1% against the close used
Model range ¥2,894.86 – ¥10,617.44
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥2,894.86Fair value¥6,490.82Bull¥10,617.44
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,399.0052W high ¥4,179.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Kyushu Railway Company closed at ¥3,506.00, 46.0% below the consensus fair value of ¥6,490.82 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 73/100 — Strong. P/E of 11.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥5,863.20
+67.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥4,623.62
+31.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=295.39, BVPS=3216.51
P/E Fair Value
¥5,907.80
+68.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=295.39, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥8,861.70
+152.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=295.39, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥10,617.44
+202.8%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=114.27B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥6,209.83
+77.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=115, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,894.86
-17.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3216.51, ROE=9.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,506.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.1% | Historical: 36.1%
Margin of Safety
¥4,098.66
+16.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=5464.87, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.