AlphaPolis Co.,Ltd.
TSE Growth
¥1,100.00
-0.63%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
9467
AlphaPolis Co.,Ltd.
¥1,100.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,430.65Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
72/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
¥1,430.65
Below FV▲ +30.1% against the close used
Model range ¥974.19 – ¥2,031.06
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥974.19Fair value¥1,430.65Bull¥2,031.06
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥940.0052W high ¥1,684.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
AlphaPolis Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,100.00, 23.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,430.65 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 72/100 — Strong. P/E of 13.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,321.54
+20.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥981.00
-10.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=79.71, BVPS=536.59 · outside Graham range (P/E 13.8, P/B 2.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,594.20
+44.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=79.71, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,085.65
-1.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=79.71, g=13.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,031.06
+84.6%
(EBITDA × 16.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.52B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,294.92
+17.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=23.98, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,180.49
+7.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=536.59, ROE=14.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,100.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.1% | Historical: 13.6%
Margin of Safety
¥974.19
-11.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1298.91, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.