The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,323.67Fair value¥2,407.63Bull¥6,146.09
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥647.0052W high ¥942.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
HOKKAIDO GAS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥925.00, 61.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,407.63 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 72/100 — Strong. P/E of 7.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,838.11
+206.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,798.98
+94.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=130.62, BVPS=1101.19
P/E Fair Value
¥2,612.40
+182.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=130.62, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,847.52
+207.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=130.62, g=21.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥6,146.09
+564.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=32.38B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,323.67
+43.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=24.51, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,816.96
+96.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1101.19, ROE=12.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥925.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -7.2% | Historical: 21.8%
Margin of Safety
¥1,812.37
+95.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2416.5, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.