KEIYO GAS CO.,LTD.

9539 TSE Utilities Electric Power and Gas
TSE Standard
¥1,335.00
-1.48%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9539
KEIYO GAS CO.,LTD.
UtilitiesElectric Power and Gas
¥1,335.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,869.40Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
59/100
Profitability15/25
Returns13/25
Balance Sheet13/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth20/25
Good
Quality radar
59Prof.15/25Ret.13/25Eff.18/25B.Sht13/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,869.40
Below FV
▲ +40.0% against the close used
Model range ¥1,048.93 – ¥7,077.37
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,048.93Fair value¥1,869.40Bull¥7,077.37
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,132.0052W high ¥1,542.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

KEIYO GAS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,335.00, 28.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,869.40 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 13.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,981.92
+48.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,672.28
+100.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=99.85, BVPS=3178.57
P/E Fair Value
¥1,997.00
+49.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=99.85, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,660.51
+24.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=99.85, g=16.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥7,077.37
+430.1%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=14.19B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,405.75
+5.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=26.03, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,048.93
-21.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3178.57, ROE=3.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,335.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 1.7% | Historical: 16.6%
Margin of Safety
¥1,662.80
+24.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2217.07, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.