METAWATER Co.,Ltd.

9551 TSE Utilities Electric Power and Gas
TSE Prime
¥3,025.00
-1.31%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9551
METAWATER Co.,Ltd.
UtilitiesElectric Power and Gas
¥3,025.00
Close used for this calculation
¥4,034.82Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
58/100
Profitability11/25
Returns14/25
Balance Sheet15/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth14/25
Good
Quality radar
58Prof.11/25Ret.14/25Eff.18/25B.Sht15/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

¥4,034.82
Below FV
▲ +33.4% against the close used
Model range ¥2,088.81 – ¥5,032.04
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥2,088.81Fair value¥4,034.82Bull¥5,032.04
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,889.0052W high ¥4,200.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

METAWATER Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥3,025.00, 25.0% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,034.82 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 58/100 — Good. P/E of 14.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥4,730.09
+56.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,102.47
+2.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=209.3, BVPS=2043.92
P/E Fair Value
¥4,186.00
+38.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=209.3, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,088.81
-30.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=209.3, g=10%
EV/EBITDA
¥5,032.04
+66.3%
(EBITDA × 15x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=16.32B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,773.38
+24.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=69.88, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,401.60
-20.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2043.92, ROE=10.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,025.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.8% | Historical: 10%
Margin of Safety
¥3,004.64
-0.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4006.19, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.