FCE Inc.

9564 TSE Industrials Services
TSE Standard
¥555.00
-0.36%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9564
FCE Inc.
IndustrialsServices
¥555.00
Close used for this calculation
¥694.87Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
66/100
Profitability21/25
Returns13/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency14/25
Growth23/25
Strong
Quality radar
66Prof.21/25Ret.13/25Eff.14/25B.Sht18/25Growth23/25

Consensus fair value

¥694.87
Below FV
▲ +25.2% against the close used
Model range ¥342.06 – ¥913.31
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥342.06Fair value¥694.87Bull¥913.31
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥432.0052W high ¥787.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

FCE Inc. closed at ¥555.00, 20.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥694.87 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 66/100 — Strong. P/E of 18.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥913.31
+64.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥342.06
-38.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=30.17, BVPS=172.36 · outside Graham range (P/E 18.4, P/B 3.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥603.40
+8.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=30.17, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥905.10
+63.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=30.17, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥801.49
+44.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=990.13M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥404.59
-27.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=7.49, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥537.76
-3.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=172.36, ROE=18.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥555.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6% | Historical: 33.1%
Margin of Safety
¥464.69
-16.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=619.59, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.