Saison Technology Co.,Ltd.

9640 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Standard
¥1,965.00
-0.51%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9640
Saison Technology Co.,Ltd.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥1,965.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,225.15Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
44/100
Profitability10/25
Returns6/25
Balance Sheet15/25
Efficiency13/25
Growth11/25
Average
Quality radar
44Prof.10/25Ret.6/25Eff.13/25B.Sht15/25Growth11/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,225.15
Above FV
▼ -37.7% against the close used
Model range ¥586.38 – ¥1,444.84
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥586.38Fair value¥1,225.15Bull¥1,444.84
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,846.0052W high ¥2,527.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Saison Technology Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,965.00, 60.4% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,225.15 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 44/100 — Average. P/E of 29.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,256.87
-36.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,147.92
-41.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=67.06, BVPS=873.33 · outside Graham range (P/E 29.3, P/B 2.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,341.20
-31.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=67.06, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥985.11
-49.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=67.06, g=14.7%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,444.84
-26.5%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.34B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,147.46
-41.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=90, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥586.38
-70.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=873.33, ROE=7.7%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,965.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 12.3% | Historical: -14.7%
Margin of Safety
¥936.50
-52.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1248.66, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.