NAGAWA CO.,Ltd

9663 TSE Industrials Services
TSE Prime
¥4,990.00
-0.80%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9663
NAGAWA CO.,Ltd
IndustrialsServices
¥4,990.00
Close used for this calculation
¥5,843.50Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
63/100
Profitability17/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet20/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth14/25
Good
Quality radar
63Prof.17/25Ret.10/25Eff.16/25B.Sht20/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

¥5,843.50
Below FV
▲ +17.1% against the close used
Model range ¥891.07 – ¥8,639.38
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥891.07Fair value¥5,843.50Bull¥8,639.38
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥4,705.0052W high ¥6,910.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

NAGAWA CO.,Ltd closed at ¥4,990.00, 14.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,843.50 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 63/100 — Good. P/E of 17.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥5,639.30
+13.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥5,336.74
+6.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=284.11, BVPS=4455.36
P/E Fair Value
¥5,682.20
+13.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=284.11, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,875.19
-42.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=284.11, g=10.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥8,639.38
+73.1%
(EBITDA × 15.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=8.96B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥5,389.20
+8.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=99.8, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥891.07
-82.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=4455.36, ROE=6.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥4,990.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.4% | Historical: 10.1%
Margin of Safety
¥4,164.56
-16.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=5552.75, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.