The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,223.31Fair value¥2,478.49Bull¥3,913.13
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,824.0052W high ¥2,399.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
HORAI Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,329.00, 6.0% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,478.49 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 48/100 — Average. P/E of 19.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,359.85
+1.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,508.60
+7.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=118.89, BVPS=2352.53
P/E Fair Value
¥2,377.80
+2.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=118.89, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,793.92
+20.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=118.89, g=23.5%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,913.13
+68.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.07B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,295.39
-44.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=23.99, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,223.31
-47.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2352.53, ROE=5.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,329.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.9% | Historical: 23.5%
Margin of Safety
¥1,811.56
-22.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2415.42, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.