The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,653.30Fair value¥2,940.30Bull¥3,626.72
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,150.0052W high ¥1,740.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
NCS&A CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,201.00, 59.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,940.30 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 78/100 — Strong. P/E of 9.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,626.72
+202.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,653.30
+37.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=132.51, BVPS=916.79
P/E Fair Value
¥2,650.20
+120.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=132.51, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,725.73
+127.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=132.51, g=20.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,533.53
+194.2%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.06B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,132.45
+160.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=58.01, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,994.03
+66.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=916.79, ROE=14.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,201.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -3.7% | Historical: 20.6%
Margin of Safety
¥1,982.55
+65.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2643.41, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.