The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥763.38Fair value¥2,895.14Bull¥4,922.04
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,430.0052W high ¥3,305.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
CENTRAL SECURITY PATROLS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,626.00, 9.3% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,895.14 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 56/100 — Good. P/E of 15.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,055.32
-21.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,407.81
+29.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=174.93, BVPS=2950.56
P/E Fair Value
¥3,498.60
+33.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=174.93, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,591.86
-39.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=174.93, g=9.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,922.04
+87.4%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=7.47B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥763.38
-70.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=59.87, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,348.83
-48.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2950.56, ROE=6.2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,626.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 3.3% | Historical: -9.1%
Margin of Safety
¥2,240.43
-14.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2987.24, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.