The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,931.36Fair value¥3,615.81Bull¥5,187.09
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,380.0052W high ¥3,633.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
NSD CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,800.50, 22.5% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,615.81 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 69/100 — Strong. P/E of 16.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥4,087.46
+46.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,931.36
-31.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=170.49, BVPS=972.4 · outside Graham range (P/E 16.4, P/B 2.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥3,409.80
+21.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=170.49, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,311.84
-17.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=170.49, g=13.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,460.45
+59.3%
(EBITDA × 16.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=20.28B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥5,187.09
+85.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=96.06, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,014.43
+7.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=972.4, ROE=18.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,800.50
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.5% | Historical: 13.6%
Margin of Safety
¥2,357.15
-15.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3142.87, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.