NSD CO.,LTD.

9759 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Prime
¥2,800.50
-0.46%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9759
NSD CO.,LTD.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥2,800.50
Close used for this calculation
¥3,615.81Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
69/100
Profitability17/25
Returns13/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth19/25
Strong
Quality radar
69Prof.17/25Ret.13/25Eff.18/25B.Sht21/25Growth19/25

Consensus fair value

¥3,615.81
Below FV
▲ +29.1% against the close used
Model range ¥1,931.36 – ¥5,187.09
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,931.36Fair value¥3,615.81Bull¥5,187.09
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,380.0052W high ¥3,633.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

NSD CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,800.50, 22.5% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,615.81 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 69/100 — Strong. P/E of 16.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥4,087.46
+46.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,931.36
-31.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=170.49, BVPS=972.4 · outside Graham range (P/E 16.4, P/B 2.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥3,409.80
+21.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=170.49, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,311.84
-17.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=170.49, g=13.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,460.45
+59.3%
(EBITDA × 16.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=20.28B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥5,187.09
+85.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=96.06, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,014.43
+7.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=972.4, ROE=18.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,800.50
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.5% | Historical: 13.6%
Margin of Safety
¥2,357.15
-15.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3142.87, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.