SUBARU CO.,LTD.

9778 TSE Industrials Services
TSE Standard
¥5,540.00
+0.73%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9778
SUBARU CO.,LTD.
IndustrialsServices
¥5,540.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,968.08Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
32/100
Profitability14/25
Returns3/25
Balance Sheet10/25
Efficiency5/25
Growth15/25
Weak
Quality radar
32Prof.14/25Ret.3/25Eff.5/25B.Sht10/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,968.08
Above FV
▼ -64.5% against the close used
Model range ¥669.67 – ¥3,072.10
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥669.67Fair value¥1,968.08Bull¥3,072.10
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥5,400.0052W high ¥6,980.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

SUBARU CO.,LTD. closed at ¥5,540.00, 181.5% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,968.08 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 32/100 — Weak. P/E of 80.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,871.30
-66.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,072.10
-44.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=68.9, BVPS=6087.91 · outside Graham range (P/E 80.4, P/B 0.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,378.00
-75.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=68.9, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,796.91
-67.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=68.9, g=26.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,836.63
-48.8%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=271.76M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,532.78
-72.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=120.22, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥669.67
-87.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=6087.91, ROE=1.1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥5,540.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 26.1% | Historical: -26.1%
Margin of Safety
¥1,580.35
-71.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2107.13, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.