Lilycolor Co.,Ltd.

9827 TSE Consumer Discretionary Wholesale Trade
TSE Standard
¥630.00
+0.32%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9827
Lilycolor Co.,Ltd.
Consumer DiscretionaryWholesale Trade
¥630.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,398.95Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
57/100
Profitability13/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet13/25
Efficiency20/25
Growth19/25
Good
Quality radar
57Prof.13/25Ret.11/25Eff.20/25B.Sht13/25Growth19/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,398.95
Below FV
▲ +122.1% against the close used
Model range ¥65.63 – ¥2,464.33
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥65.63Fair value¥1,398.95Bull¥2,464.33
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥581.0052W high ¥729.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Lilycolor Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥630.00, 55.0% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,398.95 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 57/100 — Good. P/E of 14.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,464.33
+291.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥791.80
+25.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=42.46, BVPS=656.25
P/E Fair Value
¥849.20
+34.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=42.46, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥521.83
-17.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=42.46, g=12.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥989.33
+57.0%
(EBITDA × 16.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=888.33M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,942.54
+208.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=35.97, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥65.63
-89.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=656.25, ROE=6.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥630.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 3.1% | Historical: 12.3%
Margin of Safety
¥1,026.33
+62.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1368.44, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.